Research & Stock Picks

Company Reports

15 January 2025

By

Plantation: Overweight with NSSS and TAPG as Top Picks

Strength

Rapid 2025F sector EPS growth of 26% (2024F: 740%) on the back of expected high average CPO price (+7.2% YoY to MYR 4,500/MT); solid sectoral CPO output growth of c. +3.9% (vs. -3.6% decline in 24F), partly driven by the end of El Niño in May 2024

 

Opportunity

The implementation of B40 (40% CPO-60% diesel fuel) in January 2025 and B50 (50% CPO-50% diesel fuel) in 2026 is expected to boost domestic CPO consumption, providing upward support for CPO prices

 

Weakness

Weaker volumes on WTO’s decision to uphold EU restrictions on palm oil use in biofuels which could exacerbate the downtrend in Indonesia’s CPO shipments to several EU countries (Netherlands, Italy, and Spain experienced aggregate -58% drop between 2013-23) and lead to oversupply

 

Threat

Lower prices due to the lifting of palm oil moratorium which may encourage CPO players to expand planting areas, leading to greater volumes, but higher opex (forest clearing, etc.) and margin pressure

Share This:

tren harga CPO

Download PDF

Download PDF

2025 Plantation Outlook

Download PDF

2025 Plantation Outlook

More Related

Economic Reports

Jan 15, 2025

Economic Reports

Jan 15, 2025

Company Reports

Jan 15, 2025

Company Reports

Jan 15, 2025

Technical Stock Analysis

Jan 15, 2025

Economic Reports

Jan 15, 2025

Morning Briefs

Jan 14, 2025

Technical Stock Analysis

Jan 14, 2025

Economic Reports

Jan 13, 2025

Company Reports

Jan 13, 2025

Economic Reports

Jan 13, 2025

Morning Briefs

Jan 13, 2025

Technical Stock Analysis

Jan 13, 2025

Technical Stock Analysis

Jan 10, 2025

Morning Briefs

Jan 10, 2025

Economic Reports

Jan 10, 2025

Company Reports

Jan 9, 2025

Technical Stock Analysis

Jan 9, 2025

Economic Reports

Jan 8, 2025

Morning Briefs

Jan 8, 2025

Technical Stock Analysis

Jan 8, 2025

Economic Reports

Jan 7, 2025

Company Reports

Jan 7, 2025

Technical Stock Analysis

Jan 7, 2025

Morning Briefs

Jan 7, 2025

Economic Reports

Jan 7, 2025

Morning Briefs

Jan 6, 2025

Technical Stock Analysis

Jan 6, 2025

Morning Briefs

Jan 3, 2025

Technical Stock Analysis

Jan 3, 2025

Morning Briefs

Jan 2, 2025

Technical Stock Analysis

Jan 2, 2025

Morning Briefs

Dec 30, 2024

Morning Briefs

Dec 27, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Dec 27, 2024

Company Reports

Dec 24, 2024

laba bank bmri

Company Reports

Dec 24, 2024

laba bni

Company Reports

Dec 24, 2024

Morning Briefs

Dec 24, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Dec 24, 2024

Morning Briefs

Dec 23, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Dec 23, 2024

Economic Reports

Dec 22, 2024

peluang aces ditengah gejolak ekonomi

Company Reports

Dec 20, 2024

Company Reports

Dec 20, 2024

penurunan nikel

Company Reports

Dec 20, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Dec 20, 2024

Morning Briefs

Dec 20, 2024

Economic Reports

Dec 20, 2024

Economic Reports

Dec 19, 2024

Morning Briefs

Dec 19, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Dec 19, 2024

Economic Reports

Dec 19, 2024

Economic Reports

Dec 18, 2024

Morning Briefs

Dec 18, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Dec 18, 2024

Economic Reports

Dec 17, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Dec 17, 2024

Economic Reports

Dec 16, 2024

Economic Reports

Dec 16, 2024

Morning Briefs

Dec 16, 2024