Research & Stock Picks

Economic & Fixed Income

13 May 2024

By

Samuel Weekly Macro: 1st Week of May 2024

Highlights:

 Economic Growth: Indonesia’s economy expanded by 5.11% year-onyear in Q1 2024, outperforming forecasts and maintaining strong
household consumption.
 Energy Transition: A comprehensive $85 billion renewable energy
plan includes the early retirement of coal plants and bioethanol
development.
 Rupiah & Reserves: Despite a 2.89% year-to-date depreciation, the
rupiah remains resilient, while foreign exchange reserves fell by $4.2
billion in April.
 Political Landscape: President-elect Prabowo Subianto proposed a
presidential club for discourse, while recalibrating Indonesia's
international relations, particularly with China.
 Digital Economy: SpaceX’s Starlink aims to improve Indonesian
connectivity, with LawBank Asia investing in legal tech, highlighting
digital market potential.

Overview

Indonesia's economy grew by 5.11% year-on-year in Q1 2024, driven
by strong household consumption but tempered by the limited
impact of social assistance, prompting a cautious revision of
economic growth forecasts to 4.8% for FY24. Despite a 2.89% yearto-date depreciation, the rupiah outperformed regional peers, with
Bank Indonesia prepared to stabilize the currency amid global
volatility. The unemployment rate fell by 9.89% from last year,
bolstered by stable growth. Indonesia's candidacy for OECD
membership signifies alignment with international standards, while
the Asian Development Bank projects economic growth of 5% in
2024 and 2025. Energy transition programs target renewable energy
development, including a $85 billion initiative, and bioethanol
production. Meanwhile, foreign exchange reserves fell by $4.2
billion, signaling the largest decline in 11 months. In the oil and gas
sector, Pertamina cited a rig shortage, while Freeport will export up
to 900,000 tons of copper. The Paiton Power Plant's stability was
affected by Mitsui's divestment, and Sepatu Bata closed a factory
due to declining demand. Politically, President-elect Prabowo
Subianto proposed a presidential club to foster discourse, and the
Constitutional Court dismissed electoral lawsuits, initiating political
negotiations. Prabowo's coalition advocates for an expanded
cabinet, with recalibrated relations with China on the horizon.
Internationally, Indonesia remains supportive of Palestinian
independence and aligns with the ASEAN-EU Blue Book. In the digital
economy, SpaceX’s Starlink broadband aims to improve connectivity,
while LawBank Asia’s legal tech investment advances AI. Finally,
climate change mitigation requires international cooperation, with
urban planning programs in Jakarta addressing urban challenges,
and the nation facing the hottest April in 40 years.

 

Share This:

Highlights

Download PDF

Download PDF

Report May Week 1 (Eng)

Download PDF

Report May Week 1 (Eng)

More Related

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 8, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – Aug09, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 6, 2024

Indonesia Foreign Exchange Reserves: 6 September 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 6, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 06 Sep, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 6, 2024

Samuel Economic Daily Report 6 September 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 5, 2024

IHSG Diperkirakan Bergerak Melemah Hari Ini

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 5, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 05 Sep, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 5, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Report 5 September 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 4, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 04 Sep, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 4, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Report 4 September 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 4, 2024

Samuel Daily Report 4 Spetember 2024

Company Reports

Sep 3, 2024

Poultry Weekly (3 September 2024)

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 3, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 03 Sep, 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 3, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Sideways Hari Ini

Economic Reports

Sep 3, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Report 3 September 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 2, 2024

Indonesian Manufacturing PMI: 2 September 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 2, 2024

Indonesia August Inflation: 2 September 2024

Company Reports

Sep 2, 2024

Copper Weekly (02 September 2024): USD 9,179/ton (+0.8% WoW)

Company Reports

Sep 2, 2024

Nickel Weekly (02 September 2024): USD 16,755/ton (+1.8% WoW)

Company Reports

Sep 2, 2024

Oil Weekly (02 September 2024): USD 79.7/bbl (+2.9% WoW)

Company Reports

Sep 2, 2024

Gold Weekly (02 September 2024): USD 2,514/Oz (+0.4% WoW)

tensi geopolitik

Company Reports

Sep 2, 2024

Coal Weekly (02 September 2024): USD 145/ton (-1.9% WoW)

Economic Reports

Sep 2, 2024

Samuel Monthly Economic Report 2 September 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 2, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat Hari Ini

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 2, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 02 Sep, 2024

Morning Briefs

Aug 30, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat Hari Ini

Company Reports

Aug 30, 2024

Palm Oil Weekly (30 August 2024): CPO MYR 4,075(+2.5% WoW)

Company Reports

Aug 30, 2024

Retailers: 1H24 Results Round-up

Company Reports

Aug 30, 2024

Automotive: 1H24 Results Round-up

Company Reports

Aug 30, 2024

Consumer: 1H24 Results Round-up

Company Reports

Aug 30, 2024

Poultry: 1H24 Results Round-up

Economic Reports

Aug 30, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Report 30 August 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Aug 30, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – Aug30, 2024

Economic Reports

Aug 29, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Report 29 August 2024

Morning Briefs

Aug 29, 2024

IHSG Diperkirakan Bergerak Melemah Hari Ini

Technical Stock Analysis

Aug 29, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – Aug29, 2024

Company Reports

Aug 28, 2024

Property: 1H24 Results Round-up

Economic Reports

Aug 28, 2024

BI’s 7-Day Repo Rate: 21 August 2024

Economic Reports

Aug 28, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic 28 Agustus 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Aug 28, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – Aug28, 2024

Morning Briefs

Aug 28, 2024

IHSG Diperkirakan Bergerak Sideways Hari Ini

pertumbuhan pinjaman

Company Reports

Aug 27, 2024

BBNI: BUY – TP at 6,150 – 7M24 Results

kupedes bbri

Company Reports

Aug 27, 2024

BBRI: HOLD – TP at 5,500 – 7M24 Results

Company Reports

Aug 27, 2024

PGAS: 2Q24 Results – BUY, TP at IDR 1,800

Technical Stock Analysis

Aug 27, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – Aug27, 2024

Company Reports

Aug 26, 2024

Gold Weekly (26 August 2024): USD 2,506/Oz (+1.4% WoW)

Company Reports

Aug 26, 2024

Oil Weekly (26 August 2024): USD 77.4/bbl (-4.0% WoW)

Company Reports

Aug 26, 2024

Copper Weekly (26 August 2024): USD 9,108/ton (+2.3% WoW)

Company Reports

Aug 26, 2024

Coal Weekly (26 August 2024): USD 147/ton (-1.8% WoW)

Company Reports

Aug 26, 2024

Nickel Weekly (26 August 2024): USD 16,453/ton (+2.8% WoW)

Economic & Fixed Income

Aug 26, 2024

Samuel Daily Weekly 26 August 2024

Morning Briefs

Aug 26, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat Hari Ini

Technical Stock Analysis

Aug 26, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – Aug26, 2024

Company Reports

Aug 23, 2024

Palm Oil Weekly (23 August 2024): CPO MYR 3,976(+2.7% WoW)

Company Reports

Aug 23, 2024

BBNI: BUY (maintained) – TP at 6,000 – 2Q24 Results

Technical Stock Analysis

Aug 23, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – Aug23, 2024

Morning Briefs

Aug 23, 2024

IHSG Diperkirakan Bergerak Sideways Hari Ini

Company Reports

Aug 22, 2024

BSDE: BUY (maintained), TP at IDR 1,325 – 2Q24 Results

Economic Reports

Aug 22, 2024

Current Account Balance 2Q24: 22 August 2024

Morning Briefs

Aug 22, 2024

IHSG Diprediksi Melemah Hari Ini

Technical Stock Analysis

Aug 22, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – Aug22, 2024

peluang aces ditengah gejolak ekonomi

Company Reports

Aug 21, 2024

ACES 7M24 SSSG Results

Technical Stock Analysis

Aug 21, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – Aug21, 2024

Aug 21, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – Aug21, 2024

Morning Briefs

Aug 21, 2024

IHSG Diprediksi Menguat Hari Ini

Economic & Fixed Income

Aug 20, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Report 20 August 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Aug 20, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – Aug20, 2024

Company Reports

Aug 19, 2024

Copper Weekly (19 August 2024): USD 8,695/ton (+2.4% WoW)

Company Reports

Aug 19, 2024

Coal Weekly (19 August 2024): USD 150/ton (+1.4% WoW)

Company Reports

Aug 19, 2024

Nickel Weekly (19 August 2024): USD 16,004/ton (+0.1% WoW)

Company Reports

Aug 19, 2024

Gold Weekly (19 August 2024): USD 2,470/Oz (+2.6% WoW)

Company Reports

Aug 19, 2024

Oil Weekly: Brent USD 79.7/bbl (+3.5% WoW Average)

Economic & Fixed Income

Aug 19, 2024

Samuel Weekly Economic Report 19 August 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Aug 19, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – Aug19, 2024

Morning Briefs

Aug 19, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Sideways Hari Ini

Company Reports

Aug 16, 2024

JPFA Site Visit: Volume Driven Works Like a Charm

Company Reports

Aug 16, 2024

Palm Oil Weekly (16 August 2024): CPO MYR 3,872/MT (+1.81% WoW)

Company Reports

Aug 16, 2024

ITMG: 2Q24 Results – HOLD, TP at IDR 26,000

Company Reports

Aug 16, 2024

SCMA 2Q24 Results: HOLD (from SELL) – TP: 134 (from 120)

Economic & Fixed Income

Aug 16, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic 16 August 2024

Morning Briefs

Aug 16, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat Hari Ini

Technical Stock Analysis

Aug 16, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – Aug16, 2024

Company Reports

Aug 15, 2024

Samuel Strategy Report – USD/IDR appreciation: The beneficiaries – 15 August 2024

Company Reports

Aug 15, 2024

Samuel Research: Impact of IDR Strengthening on Consumer Sector

Economic Update

Aug 15, 2024

Indonesia Balance of Trade

Economic Reports

Aug 15, 2024

Balance of Trade: 15 August 2024

Company Reports

Aug 15, 2024

MNCN: 2Q24 Results – HOLD, TP: 340 (from 300)

Technical Stock Analysis

Aug 15, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – Aug15, 2024

Morning Briefs

Aug 15, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat Hari Ini

Technical Stock Analysis

Aug 14, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – Aug14, 2024

Economic & Fixed Income

Aug 14, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Report: 14 Agustus 2024

Morning Briefs

Aug 14, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat Hari Ini

laba astra

Company Reports

Aug 13, 2024

ASII: 7M24 Auto Sales

Company Reports

Aug 13, 2024

Samuel Strategy Report – Sideways Bound – JCI Index Target: 7,400

FILM

Company Reports

Aug 13, 2024

FILM: MSCI Small Cap Inclusion – BUY, TP: IDR 5,500

Company Reports

Aug 13, 2024

ANTM: 2Q24 Results – HOLD, TP at IDR 1,400

Company Reports

Aug 13, 2024

Oil Weekly: Brent USD 79.7/bbl (-0.8% WoW Average)

Technical Stock Analysis

Aug 13, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – Aug13, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Aug 12, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – Aug12, 2024

Morning Briefs

Aug 12, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat Hari Ini