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Menurut kami, investor di pasar fixed income akan mengalihkan investasinya dari tenor panjang (≥10Y) ke tenor pendek (≤1Y) melalui lelang SRBI yang berlangsung pada tanggal 20 September karena imbal hasil yang cukup menarik (Diskonto 12M: 6.4%; 10Y yield SUN: 6.7%).
Kami memprediksi Bank Indonesia masih akan mempertahankan suku bunga acuan di 5.75% [0 bps] pada pengumuman RDG BI minggu depan karena potensi berlanjutnya defisit neraca berjalan stand alone pada 3Q23, meskipun hasil lelang SRBI yang menjadi tumpuan arus masuk modal asing menunjukkan hasil yang positif.
Kami melihat para pelaku pasar global mengakhiri minggu ini dengan lebih positif karena masih terjaganya momentum disinflasi AS dan rebound aktivitas ekonomi Tiongkok.
Akan tetapi, konsensus memperkirakan The Fed masih akan mempertahankan posisi kebijakan hawkish, yang mungkin akan menurunkan besaran siklus rate cuts 2024 dari 100 bps (4.5%) menjadi 75 bps (4.75%).
Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia is a leading Indonesian securities brokerage firm. Established in 1997, the firm has grown to become one of the most respected and trusted financial services companies in the country. With a wide range of services and products, Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia has become a trusted partner to many investors, both institutional and individual.
The company offers a variety of financial services, including equity, debt and derivative securities brokerage services, research and portfolio management, asset management and capital market services, as well as a range of other investment solutions. Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia is also a leader in providing financial education and training, and has established itself as a leading provider of investor relations services.
The company has a strong research capability and is committed to providing its clients with up-to-date and reliable market analysis and recommendations. It also has a team of experienced and knowledgeable professionals who are dedicated to providing quality service to its clients. As a result, Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia has become a preferred partner for many investors in Indonesia.
In addition to its financial services, Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia also offers a range of other services, such as corporate finance and advisory services, mergers and acquisitions, and venture capital.
