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Company Reports

18 November 2024

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BBCA: BUY, TP at 12,500 – 10M24 Results

Strength

Strong 10M24 earnings growth of 14.9% YoY driven by solid loan growth (14.2% YoY) and improved NIM (+20bps YoY); BBCA recorded some reversal in provisions during Oct-24, resulting in 10M24 CoC of 22bps (BBCA’s FY24 guidance: 30-40bps)

Weakness

10M24 LDR rose to 78.0% (+783 bps YoY), highest since 6M20, primarily due to significant gap between deposit (2.7% YoY) and loan growth (14.2% YoY)

 

Opportunity

Given that it has the highest CASA ratio (82%) among our banking coverage (Sector: 65%), BBCA would benefit most if BI were to cut its 7DRR further, as the bank would be able to adjust TD rate immediately

 

Threat
The bank may need to raise CoC if asset quality deteriorates due to USD/IDR depreciation; BBCA’s YTD outperformance against JCI could lead to profit-taking

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