Strength
Despite La Niña challenges, 2Q24 production remained robust at 11.5 million tons (+58% QoQ), while stripping ratio fell to 5.8x (-8% YoY); strong 1H24 sales volume of 20.1 million tons (+15% YoY), driven by coal sales through trucking (capacity: up to 350k tons/month) and entry into new export markets
Weakness
2Q24 earnings plummeted to IDR 1,2 trillion (-23% YoY), with EBIT margin of 16.1% (-290 bps YoY), attributable to lower ASP (IDR 1,0
million/ton, -20.3% YoY) and lower cash margin of IDR 296k/ton (-21,8% YoY) caused by shipping issues; 75,8% YoY lower interest
income in 2Q24 amounting to IDR 54 billion
Opportunity
The construction of 158 km-long Keramasan Railway Project (expected commencement: 2Q25), is estimated to increase coal production capacity by 20 million tpa (+60%)
Threat
The ongoing global shipping shortage, driven by high demand for containers, could adversely affect coal export costs (42% of rev);
2H24 ICI-3 coal price is unlikely to improve, pressuring cash margins and earnings
Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia is a leading Indonesian securities brokerage firm. Established in 1997, the firm has grown to become one of the most respected and trusted financial services companies in the country. With a wide range of services and products, Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia has become a trusted partner to many investors, both institutional and individual.
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