Research & Stock Picks

Economic Reports

16 November 2025

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Samuel Weekly Economic Insights 17 November 2025

  • Shutdown AS Berakhir, Mendorong Kepercayaan Global: Berakhirnya shutdown pemerintah AS selama 43 hari meredakan ketidakpastian global, menormalkan lalu lintas penerbangan, dan meningkatkan selera risiko di pasar negara berkembang, termasuk Indonesia.
  • Kepercayaan Konsumen dan Permintaan Ritel Menguat: Indeks Keyakinan Konsumen Indonesia naik ke 121.2, level tertinggi sejak April, sementara penjualan ritel meningkat 4.3% YoY, menandakan belanja rumah tangga yang solid menjelang periode liburan akhir tahun.
  • Danantara Memperluas Jejak Strategis: Danantara mengeksekusi sejumlah inisiatif besar: investasi unggas IDR 20T untuk program MBG, rekapitalisasi Garuda–Citilink sebesar IDR 23.67T, dan evaluasi merger GoTo–Grab—menandai intervensi negara yang semakin dalam di sektor pangan, aviasi, dan ekonomi digital.
  • Masalah dalam Pelaksanaan MBG: Program Makanan Bergizi Gratis mencatat 11,640 kasus keracunan, terhambat kurangnya jumlah nutrisionis tersertifikasi, serta diberlakukannya persyaratan higienitas lebih ketat untuk dapur mitra—menyoroti masalah tata kelola dan kapasitas di tengah ekspansi nasional yang cepat.
  • Reputasi Ekspor Tersendat oleh Insiden Cesium-137: Berbagai temuan kontaminasi—dari cengkeh hingga sol sepatu—mendorong pengetatan inspeksi, sementara Walmart sepakat bekerja sama dengan Indonesia untuk memulihkan kepercayaan terhadap produk pangan dan pertanian, mencerminkan kekhawatiran internasional sekaligus dukungan untuk pemulihan.

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