Research & Stock Picks

Company Reports

05 November 2024

By

ANTM: 3Q24 Results – BUY, SSI TP: IDR 1,800

SWOT Analysis of The Results (SSI: Above, Cons: Above)

Strength

Solid 3Q24 revenue due to strong gold sales volumes (405 koz; +42% QoQ, +112% YoY) and ASP (USD 2,639/oz; +9% QoQ, +28% YoY); improved 3Q24 EBIT, which we attribute to lower opex/sales of 3.8% (-120 bps QoQ, -530 bps YoY)

Weakness

3Q24 earnings plummeted, mainly due to the decline in GPM to 10.5% (-960 bps YoY, -150 bps QoQ) following the drop in gold cash margins to USD 67/oz (-59.8% YoY), driven by substantial retail buyback post gold rally

Opportunity

Gold rally is likely to persist due to geopolitical tensions and influx of purchases by central banks, pushing Oct-2024 price to USD 2,679/oz; YTD market underperformance coupled with earnings upgrade present buying opportunities

Threat

Elevated gold prices (>USD 2,700/oz) may increase the likelihood of major retail profit-taking amid macro uncertainty, potentially compelling ANTM to buyback at higher prices and pressuring its gold cash margins

Share This:

laba antam

Download PDF

Download PDF

TR_ANTM 3Q24

Download PDF

TR_ANTM 3Q24

More Related

Technical Stock Analysis

Nov 14, 2024

Morning Briefs

Nov 14, 2024

Economic Reports

Nov 13, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Nov 13, 2024

Morning Briefs

Nov 13, 2024

Economic Reports

Nov 12, 2024

Company Reports

Nov 12, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Nov 12, 2024

Economic Reports

Nov 11, 2024

Company Reports

Nov 11, 2024

Company Reports

Nov 11, 2024

Economic Reports

Nov 11, 2024

Morning Briefs

Nov 11, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Nov 11, 2024

Economic Reports

Nov 8, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Nov 8, 2024

Morning Briefs

Nov 8, 2024

Economic Reports

Nov 8, 2024

Company Reports

Nov 7, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Nov 7, 2024

Morning Briefs

Nov 7, 2024

Economic Reports

Nov 6, 2024

Company Reports

Nov 6, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Nov 6, 2024

Morning Briefs

Nov 6, 2024

Economic Reports

Nov 5, 2024

Company Reports

Nov 5, 2024

Economic Reports

Nov 5, 2024

Economic Reports

Nov 5, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Nov 5, 2024

Company Reports

Nov 5, 2024

Company Reports

Nov 5, 2024

Economic Reports

Nov 4, 2024

Company Reports

Nov 4, 2024

laba bersih bukit asam

Company Reports

Nov 4, 2024

Morning Briefs

Nov 4, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Nov 4, 2024

Economic Reports

Nov 1, 2024

Economic Reports

Nov 1, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Nov 1, 2024

Morning Briefs

Nov 1, 2024

Economic Reports

Nov 1, 2024

Company Reports

Oct 31, 2024

laba bersih FILM

Company Reports

Oct 31, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 31, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 31, 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 30, 2024

kinerja positif assa

Company Reports

Oct 30, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 30, 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 29, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 29, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 28, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 28, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 25, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 25, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 24, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 24, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 23, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 23, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 22, 2024