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16 July 2025

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WIFI: 1H25 results: Medium-term Growth Underailed

■ In 2Q25, WIFI posted revenue of IDR 282bn (+21.7% QoQ; +66.6% YoY), driven by strong performance in telco income (+11.9% QoQ; +183.1% YoY), boosted by the successful launch of "Starlite" (200 Mbps for IDR 100,000/month); the product helped boost WIFI’s subscriber count to 385k (YTD: ~420k). The advertising segment also saw positive growth, generating IDR 133bn (+34.3% QoQ; +14.2% YoY).

■ WIFI’s 2Q25 EBITDA margin improved to 77.4% (2Q24: 63.1%, 1Q25: 77.9%) on the back of strong advertising margin of 82.1%. Net profit reached IDR 145bn (+76.0% QoQ; +140.3% YoY), making up 41.7% of our FY25 estimate (the bottom line includes IDR 59bn in other income received from acquired local ISPs in 1H25). Looking ahead, we expect further profit growth in 2H25, supported by better capex flexibility thanks to rights issue proceeds, bonds, and debt financing.

■ WIFI raised ~IDR 8.5tn through successful rights issue coupled with oversubscribed bonds and sukuk issuances, indicating market confidence. Combined with IDR 1tn cash investment from NTT, WIFI has sufficient capital to expand its subscriber base over the coming quarters (the company expects a surge in subscriber count starting in Aug-25). Further support for WIFI’s FWA and other businesses stems from potential collaboration with TLKM. The collaboration will take place through 4 main synergies: 1) utilization of TLKM’s resources, including MTEL’s towers; 2) services management for network operations; 3) backbone network to support ex-Java expansion; and 4) Indihome’s idle Home Passes in both Java & Ex-Java.

■ BUY with a TP of IDR 5,200, driven by robust medium-term earnings growth. We’ve revised FY25 and FY26 earnings, while also raising FY27 and FY28F estimates by 4.8% and 10.2%. We maintain BUY rating on WIFI with TP of IDR 5,200, reflecting 2026F EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.6x (17% below sector average), supported by improved financial flexibility and strong growth prospects in the untapped FBB market for low-income households. Key risks include potential delays in rollout that may affect customer acquisition.

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WIFI 2Q25 Results

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WIFI 2Q25 Results

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