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SWOT Analysis of 10M24 Operational Figures (Mostly in-line)
Strength
In Oct-24, Komatsu heavy equipment volumes rose to 443 units (+19.4% MoM, +35.5% YoY), bringing 10M24 figures to 3,764; despite not fully utilizing Sumbawa Juta Raya mine, gold sales volumes rose to 23 koz (+15.0% MoM, +130.0% YoY)
Weakness
Coal overburden removal dropped to 106.4 Mbcm (-4.6% MoM, -9.1% YoY) due to the rainy season; 3Q24 coal volumes fell to 0.8 Mt (-17.0% QoQ), mainly due to decreased thermal coal (66.6% of total) to 0.5 Mt (-18.9% QoQ, -19.2% YoY)
Opportunity
Escalating Russia-Ukraine geopolitical tensions, fueled by U.S. approval for Ukraine to deploy long-range weapons, may tighten global coal supplies and provide support for near-term prices
Threat
High rainfall levels in Kalimantan may disrupt mining activities, potentially leading to reduced production; YTD market outperformance could trigger profit-taking on the stock
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