Research & Stock Picks

Economic & Fixed Income

13 May 2024

By

Samuel Weekly Macro: 1st Week of May 2024

Highlights:

 Economic Growth: Indonesia’s economy expanded by 5.11% year-onyear in Q1 2024, outperforming forecasts and maintaining strong
household consumption.
 Energy Transition: A comprehensive $85 billion renewable energy
plan includes the early retirement of coal plants and bioethanol
development.
 Rupiah & Reserves: Despite a 2.89% year-to-date depreciation, the
rupiah remains resilient, while foreign exchange reserves fell by $4.2
billion in April.
 Political Landscape: President-elect Prabowo Subianto proposed a
presidential club for discourse, while recalibrating Indonesia's
international relations, particularly with China.
 Digital Economy: SpaceX’s Starlink aims to improve Indonesian
connectivity, with LawBank Asia investing in legal tech, highlighting
digital market potential.

Overview

Indonesia's economy grew by 5.11% year-on-year in Q1 2024, driven
by strong household consumption but tempered by the limited
impact of social assistance, prompting a cautious revision of
economic growth forecasts to 4.8% for FY24. Despite a 2.89% yearto-date depreciation, the rupiah outperformed regional peers, with
Bank Indonesia prepared to stabilize the currency amid global
volatility. The unemployment rate fell by 9.89% from last year,
bolstered by stable growth. Indonesia's candidacy for OECD
membership signifies alignment with international standards, while
the Asian Development Bank projects economic growth of 5% in
2024 and 2025. Energy transition programs target renewable energy
development, including a $85 billion initiative, and bioethanol
production. Meanwhile, foreign exchange reserves fell by $4.2
billion, signaling the largest decline in 11 months. In the oil and gas
sector, Pertamina cited a rig shortage, while Freeport will export up
to 900,000 tons of copper. The Paiton Power Plant's stability was
affected by Mitsui's divestment, and Sepatu Bata closed a factory
due to declining demand. Politically, President-elect Prabowo
Subianto proposed a presidential club to foster discourse, and the
Constitutional Court dismissed electoral lawsuits, initiating political
negotiations. Prabowo's coalition advocates for an expanded
cabinet, with recalibrated relations with China on the horizon.
Internationally, Indonesia remains supportive of Palestinian
independence and aligns with the ASEAN-EU Blue Book. In the digital
economy, SpaceX’s Starlink broadband aims to improve connectivity,
while LawBank Asia’s legal tech investment advances AI. Finally,
climate change mitigation requires international cooperation, with
urban planning programs in Jakarta addressing urban challenges,
and the nation facing the hottest April in 40 years.

 

Share This:

Highlights

Download PDF

Download PDF

Report May Week 1 (Eng)

Download PDF

Report May Week 1 (Eng)

More Related

Morning Briefs

Oct 18, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat Hari Ini

Economic Reports

Oct 17, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Insights

Morning Briefs

Oct 17, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Sideways Hari Ini

Economic Reports

Oct 16, 2024

BI’s 7-Day Repo Rate: 16 October 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 16, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Insights 16 October 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 16, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 16, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 16 Oct, 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 15, 2024

Balance of Trade 15 October 2024

laba astra

Company Reports

Oct 15, 2024

ASII: 9M24 Auto Sales

Economic Reports

Oct 15, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 15 October 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 14, 2024

Samuel 2nd Weekly Economic Insight 14 October 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 14, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 14 Oct, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 14, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat Hari Ini

harga minyak turun

Company Reports

Oct 11, 2024

Oil Weekly (11 October 2024): USD 78.2/bbl (+6.3% WoW)

prospek cerah batubara

Company Reports

Oct 11, 2024

Coal Weekly (11 October 2024): USD 150/ton (+4.7% WoW)

Company Reports

Oct 11, 2024

SSI Surveillance: Poultry Mid-Week (10 October 2024)

Company Reports

Oct 11, 2024

Palm Oil Weekly (11 October 2024): CPO MYR 4,269 (+0.9% WoW)

Economic Reports

Oct 11, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Insights 11 October 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 11, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 11 Oct, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 11, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat Hari Ini

Economic Reports

Oct 10, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Insights 10 October 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 10, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Melemah Hari Ini

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 10, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 10 Oct, 2024

Company Reports

Oct 9, 2024

SSI Surveillance: Raw Materials (04 – 08 October 2024)

Company Reports

Oct 9, 2024

SSI Surveillance: Raw Materials (04 – 08 October 2024)

Economic Reports

Oct 9, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Insights 9 October 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 9, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 09 Oct, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 9, 2024

IHSG Diperkirakan Turun Hari Ini

Economic Reports

Oct 8, 2024

Indonesia Consumer Confidence Index: 8 October 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 8, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Insights: 8 October 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 8, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 08 Oct, 2024

pasar minyak tertekan

Company Reports

Oct 7, 2024

Oil Weekly (07 October 2024): USD 75.0/bbl (+2.4% WoW)

Company Reports

Oct 7, 2024

Gold Weekly (07 October 2024): USD 2,653/Oz (-0.1% WoW)

batu bara melonjak

Company Reports

Oct 7, 2024

Coal Weekly (07 October 2024): USD 144/ton (+1.4% WoW)

tembaga turun

Company Reports

Oct 7, 2024

Copper Weekly (07 October 2024): USD 9,792/ton (+1.5% WoW)

Company Reports

Oct 7, 2024

Nickel Weekly (07 October 2024): USD 17,515/ton (+6.2% WoW)

Economic Reports

Oct 7, 2024

Indonesia Foreign Exchange Reserves: 7 October 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 7, 2024

Samuel Weekly Economic Insights: 7 October 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 7, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat Hari Ini

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 7, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 07 Oct, 2024

Company Reports

Oct 4, 2024

Palm Oil Weekly (4 October 2024): CPO MYR 4,232 (-0.1% WoW)

Economic Reports

Oct 4, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Insights 4 October 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 4, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 04 Oct, 2024

inflasi tahunan indonesia

Morning Briefs

Oct 4, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Melemah Hari Ini

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 3, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 03 Oct, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 3, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Sideways Hari Ini

Economic Reports

Oct 2, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 2 October 2024

Company Reports

Oct 2, 2024

SSI Surveillance: Raw Materials (26 Sept – 01 October 2024)

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 2, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 02 Oct, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 2, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Melemah Hari Ini

Economic Reports

Oct 1, 2024

Indonesia September Inflation: 1 October 2024

bank jago

Company Reports

Oct 1, 2024

ARTO: HOLD – TP at 3,000

laba bank bmri

Company Reports

Oct 1, 2024

BMRI: BUY – TP at 8,500

Economic Reports

Oct 1, 2024

Indonesia Manufacturing PMI: 1 October 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 1, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Report 1 October 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 1, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 01 Oct, 2024

harga emas naik

Company Reports

Sep 30, 2024

Gold Weekly (30 September 2024): USD 2,655/Oz (+2.7% WoW)

harga tembaga naik

Company Reports

Sep 30, 2024

Copper Weekly (30 September 2024): USD 9,651/ton (+3.7% WoW)

Company Reports

Sep 30, 2024

Nickel Weekly (30 September 2024): USD 16,488/ton (+2.8% WoW)

Economic Reports

Sep 30, 2024

Quarterly Economic Insight – 3rd Quarter 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 30, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 30 Sep, 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 30, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Sideways Hari Ini

harga minyak turun

Company Reports

Sep 27, 2024

Oil Weekly (27 September 2024): USD 73.7/bbl (+0.6% WoW)

prospek cerah batubara

Company Reports

Sep 27, 2024

Coal Weekly (27 September 2024): USD 141/ton (+4.4% WoW)

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 27, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 27 Sep, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 27, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Report 27 September 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 27, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Sideways Hari Ini

Company Reports

Sep 26, 2024

Palm Oil Weekly (26 September 2024): CPO MYR 4,235 (+7.3% WoW)

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 26, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 26 Sep, 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 26, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Sideways Hari Ini

Economic Reports

Sep 25, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Report 25 September 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 25, 2024

IHSG Diprediksi Menguat Hari Ini

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 25, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 25 Sep, 2024

Company Reports

Sep 24, 2024

SSI Surveillance: Poultry Weekly (24 September 2024)

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 24, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 24 Sep, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 24, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic 24 September 2024

Company Reports

Sep 23, 2024

Copper Weekly (23 September 2024): USD 9,310/ton (+3.1% WoW)

Company Reports

Sep 23, 2024

Nickel Weekly (23 September 2024): USD 16,033/ton (+2.1% WoW)

harga emas naik

Company Reports

Sep 23, 2024

Gold Weekly (23 September 2024): USD 2,584/Oz (+2.0% WoW)

Economic Reports

Sep 23, 2024

Samuel Weekly Economic Report 23 September 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 23, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 23 Sep, 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 23, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat Hari Ini

peluang aces ditengah gejolak ekonomi

Company Reports

Sep 20, 2024

ACES: 8M24 SSSG

Company Reports

Sep 20, 2024

Palm Oil Weekly (20 September 2024): CPO MYR 3,948 (+0.3% WoW)

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 20, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 20 Sep, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 20, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Daily 20 September 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 20, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat Hari Ini

Economic Reports

Sep 19, 2024

Fed Rate Meeting: 19 September 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 19, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Report 19 September 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 19, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat Hari Ini

Company Reports

Sep 18, 2024

SMRA: BUY (upgrade), TP at 800 (from 700) – 2Q24 Results

Economic Reports

Sep 18, 2024

BI’s 7-Day Repo Rate: 19 September 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 18, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Report 18 September 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 18, 2024

IHSG Diperkirakan Bergerak Sideways Hari Ini

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 18, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 18 Sep, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 17, 2024

Balance of Trade 17 September 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 17, 2024

Samuel Weekly Economic Insights 17 September 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 17, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 17 Sep, 2024

Company Reports

Sep 13, 2024

SSIA Site Visit: Indonesia’s Future Industrial Hub