Research & Stock Picks

INTP: 2Q24 Results – HOLD, SSI TP: IDR 7,700

Strength
The acquisition of Semen Grobogan in 1Q24 lifted 2Q24 sales volume to 4.0mn tons (+12.6% YoY) which led to higher 2Q24 revenue of IDR 4.0tn (+8.5% YoY)

Opportunity
Drier weather and post holiday season may lead to greater demand in 3Q24; Further YTD market underperformance may allow for trading opportunities

Weakness
Weak 2Q24 top-line performance combined high opex due to higher salary expenses led to EPS decline of -17.4% QoQ and -39.9% YoY, hampering margins and resulting in disappointing 2Q24 earnings

Threat
Intensifying competition from the Chinese players may trigger another price war and prolonged down-trading; Geopolitical tension may result in higher coal prices (44.9% of COGS) and transportation cost (60.1% of OPEX)

 

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