Research & Stock Picks

Economic & Fixed Income

14 May 2024

By

Samuel Daily Macro: 14 May 2024

Overview
Indonesia's consumer confidence surged to 127.7 in April 2024, its highest level since May 2023, driven by the "Lebaran" effect, with festive sentiments boosting economic outlooks. All six sub-indices improved, with notable increases in current economic conditions, future income expectations, and job availability. However, the index may decline next month due to tight monetary policy, persistent inflation, and geopolitical risks. Bank Indonesia projects GDP growth above 5% in the second quarter, but remains cautious due to monetary pressures. Despite global headwinds, Indonesia's economic outlook is strong. Concerns arise over new import rules affecting value chain improvements, and significant Chinese investments continue. Indonesia's bid for OECD membership gains momentum, while plans to increase VAT to 12% aim to boost revenues. Pertamina commits to increasing oil lifting amid production declines, and the Indonesia Gas Society calls for special LNG pricing. Mubadala Energy announces a second major gas discovery, and Shell sells Singapore assets to a Glencore-Indonesian JV. PT Pertamina International Shipping acquires two VLGCs, strengthening its position in ASEAN LPG transport. Germany's interest in Indonesian nickel supports downstreaming efforts, while mining licenses for religious organizations face criticism. Global renewable electricity surpasses 30%, but Indonesia lags at 20%. Indonesia bets on electric vehicles, with Chinese manufacturers targeting its market. Land clearing for the Nusantara project faces challenges, yet Austria shows investment interest. The government seeks to boost private sector involvement in water infrastructure, and Waskita Karya consolidates with Hutama Karya for financial stability. Companies raise Rp 67.95 trillion in capital markets, and Bank Indonesia is optimistic about the rupiah strengthening below 16,000 against the US dollar. New OJK regulations require banks to increase capital to mitigate geopolitical risks. BI and UAE Central Bank sign a pact to boost local currency transactions. Rising medical claims prompt insurers and hospitals to review risk-sharing schemes, while a new crypto committee monitors the industry. Prajogo Pangestu ranks 25th on Forbes' Billionaires List, and Prabowo Subianto’s brother builds a tin plant in Batam. The closure of PT Sepatu Bata highlights challenges in labor-intensive industries, and the SOE Ministry implements a four-day workweek. Indonesia aims to capitalize on the global chocolate consumption boom as the third-largest cacao producer.

Share This:

Highlights

Download PDF

Download PDF

Daily Macro SSI_14052024_EN

Download PDF

Daily Macro SSI_14052024_EN

More Related

Morning Briefs

Jun 19, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Up Today

Economic Reports

Jun 19, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 19 June 2026

Economic Reports

Jun 18, 2026

Samuel Economic Update: BI’s 7-Day Repo Rate 18 June 2026

Company Reports

Jun 18, 2026

May 2026 Automotive Sales: Normalized

Economic Reports

Jun 18, 2026

Samuel Economic Update : Fed Rate Meeting 18 June 2026

Morning Briefs

Jun 18, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Up Today

Economic Reports

Jun 18, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 18 June 2026

Morning Briefs

Jun 17, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Up Today

Economic Reports

Jun 17, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 17 June 2026

Company Reports

Jun 15, 2026

WIFI: BUY (Maintained), TP at IDR 5,200 – Fast & Cheap

Morning Briefs

Jun 15, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Up Today

Economic Reports

Jun 15, 2026

Samuel Weekly Economic Insight 15 June 2026

Company Reports

Jun 12, 2026

Equity Strategy: Worst is Over

Company Reports

Jun 12, 2026

Bad for Banks: IDR Weakness & Higher Rates

Morning Briefs

Jun 12, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Up Today

Economic Reports

Jun 12, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 12 June 2026

Morning Briefs

Jun 11, 2026

JCI is Expected to Decline Today

Economic Reports

Jun 11, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 11 June 2026

Economic Reports

Jun 10, 2026

Samuel economic Update: Indonesia Consumer Confidence Index 10 June 2026

Morning Briefs

Jun 10, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Up Today

Economic Reports

Jun 10, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 10 June 2026

Economic Reports

Jun 9, 2026

Samuel Economic Update : BI’s 7-Day Repo Rate 9 June 2026

Morning Briefs

Jun 9, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Up Today

Economic Reports

Jun 9, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 9 June 2026

Economic Reports

Jun 8, 2026

Samuel Economic Update: Indonesia Foreign Exchange Reserves 8 June 2026

Morning Briefs

Jun 8, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Up Today

Morning Briefs

Jun 5, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Up Today

Economic Reports

Jun 5, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 5 June 2026

Morning Briefs

Jun 4, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Down Today

Economic Reports

Jun 4, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 4 June 2026

Morning Briefs

Jun 3, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Up Today

Economic Reports

Jun 3, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 3 June 2026

Economic Reports

Jun 2, 2026

[Samuel Economic Update: Balance of Trade] 2 June 2026

Economic Reports

Jun 2, 2026

[Samuel Economic Update: Inflation] 2 June 2026

Economic Reports

Jun 2, 2026

Samuel Economic Update: Indonesia Manufacturing PMI 2 June 2026

Morning Briefs

Jun 2, 2026

JCI is Expected to Decline Today

Economic Reports

Jun 2, 2026

Samuel Monthly Economic Insight 2 June 2026

Morning Briefs

May 29, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Up Today

Economic Reports

May 29, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 29 May 2026

Company Reports

May 26, 2026

KLBF: Undemanding Valuation, (BUY, IDR 1,000 TP)

Morning Briefs

May 26, 2026

JCI is Expected to Sideways Today

Morning Briefs

May 25, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Up Today

Economic Reports

May 25, 2026

Samuel Weekly Economic Insight 25 May 2026

Economic Reports

May 22, 2026

Samuel economic Update 22 May 2026: Current Account Balance 1Q26

Morning Briefs

May 22, 2026

JCI is Expected to Decline Today

Economic Reports

May 22, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 22 May 2026

Company Reports

May 21, 2026

NETV: Not Mission Impossible, (BUY; IDR 100 TP)

Morning Briefs

May 21, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Sideways Today

Economic Reports

May 21, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 21 May 2026

Economic Reports

May 20, 2026

Samuel Economic Update : BI’s 7-Day Repo Rate: 20 May 2026

Morning Briefs

May 20, 2026

JCI is Expected to Decline Today

Economic Reports

May 20, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 20 May 2026

Morning Briefs

May 19, 2026

JCI is Expected to Sideways Today

Economic Reports

May 19, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 19 May 2026

Morning Briefs

May 18, 2026

JCI is Expected to Decline Today

Economic Reports

May 18, 2026

Samuel Weekly Economic Insight 18 May 2026

Company Reports

May 13, 2026

MKPI: BUY (Maintained), TP at IDR 32,000 – 1Q26 Results

Economic Reports

May 13, 2026

MKPI: BUY (Maintained), TP at IDR 32,000 – 1Q26 Results

Morning Briefs

May 13, 2026

JCI is Expected to Decline Today

Economic Reports

May 13, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 13 May 2026

Economic Reports

May 12, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 12 May 2026

Morning Briefs

May 12, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Up Today

Company Reports

May 11, 2026

BNBR: Non-Rated – Road to Growth

Economic Reports

May 11, 2026

Indonesia Consumer Confidence Index: 11 May 2026

Morning Briefs

May 11, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Up Today

Economic Reports

May 11, 2026

Samuel Weekly Economic Insight 11 May 2026

Economic Reports

May 8, 2026

Indonesia Foreign Exchange Reserves: 8 May 2026

Company Reports

May 8, 2026

OASA: Waste to Wealth

Morning Briefs

May 8, 2026

JCI is Expected to Decline Today

Economic Reports

May 8, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 8 May 2026

Morning Briefs

May 7, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Sideways Today

Economic Reports

May 7, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 7 May 2026

Morning Briefs

May 6, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Up Today

Economic Reports

May 6, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 6 May 2026

Economic Reports

May 5, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 5 May 2026

May 5, 2026

Gross Domestic Product 1Q26: 5 May 2026

Morning Briefs

May 5, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Sideways Today

Economic Reports

May 4, 2026

Balance of Trade: 04 May 2026

Economic Reports

May 4, 2026

Indonesia April Inflation: 4 May 2026

Economic Reports

May 4, 2026

Indonesia Manufacturing PMI: 4 May 2026

Morning Briefs

May 4, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Up Today

Economic Reports

May 4, 2026

Samuel Monthly Economic Insight 4 May 2026

Economic Reports

Apr 30, 2026

Fed Rate Meeting: 30 April 2026

Morning Briefs

Apr 30, 2026

JCI is Expected to Decline Today

Economic Reports

Apr 30, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 30 April 2026

Morning Briefs

Apr 29, 2026

JCI Diperkirakan Akan Turun Hari Ini

Economic Reports

Apr 29, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 29 April 2026

laba bank bmri

Company Reports

Apr 28, 2026

BMRI: BUY (Maintained), TP at 5,700 – Not Without Risks

Morning Briefs

Apr 28, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Down Today

Economic Reports

Apr 28, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 28 April 2026

Morning Briefs

Apr 27, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Up Today

Morning Briefs

Apr 24, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Sideways Today

Economic Reports

Apr 24, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 24 April 2026

Economic Reports

Apr 23, 2026

BI’s 7-Day Repo Rate: 22 April 2026

metropolitan kentjana

Company Reports

Apr 23, 2026

MKPI: BUY (Maintained), TP at 32,000 – Staying Resilient

Morning Briefs

Apr 23, 2026

JCI is Expected to Move Up Today

Economic Reports

Apr 23, 2026

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 23 April 2026

Company Reports

Apr 22, 2026

JPFA: Bittersweet (HOLD) – TP at IDR 2,400

kinerja bbtn

Company Reports

Apr 22, 2026

BBTN: BUY (Maintained), TP at 1,600 – 1Q26 Results