Research & Stock Picks

Economic & Fixed Income

03 May 2023

By

Macro Weekly Strategy

  • Performa pasar obligasi Indonesia cenderung stagnan setelah libur Lebaran, tapi IHSG dalam sentimen positif meskipun pasar komoditas global tengah tertekan
  • Kelanjutan aksi beli investor asing di pasar obligasi dibutuhkan untuk menampung aksi jual yang dilakukan oleh sektor perbankan terutama sejak bulan April
  • Potensi arus modal keluar dari Pasar AS tinggi karena kondisi perekonomian AS yang sudah semakin dekat menuju resesi
  • Resesi perekonomian AS diperlukan untuk kelanjutan proses disinflasi AS yang tertahan oleh stagnasi inflasi inti
  • Menghadapi kemungkinan resesi, pasar memperkirakan kenaikan terakhir (dovish hike) sebesar 25 bps menjadi 5.25% di bulan Mei
  • Walaupun aktivitas perekonomian di Eropa mulai menunjukkan tanda-tanda pemulihan, potensi masuknya aliran dana dari AS ke Eropa terbatas
  • Walaupun pertumbuhan PDB Tiongkok membaik di 1Q23, pelemahan aktivitas manufaktur di bulan April menimbulkan keraguan atas prospek ekonomi Tiongkok

Share This:

Highlights

Download PDF

Download PDF

Macro Strategy Weekly 2023-05-02 (Eng)
Macro Strategy Weekly 2023-05-02 (Ind)

Download PDF

Macro Strategy Weekly 2023-05-02 (Eng)
Macro Strategy Weekly 2023-05-02 (Ind)

More Related

Company Reports

Nov 6, 2024

SCMA: 3Q24 Results – SELL, SSI TP: IDR 110

Technical Stock Analysis

Nov 6, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 06 Nov, 2024

Morning Briefs

Nov 6, 2024

IHSG Diperkirakan Bergerak Menguat Hari Ini

Economic Reports

Nov 5, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 5 November 2024

Company Reports

Nov 5, 2024

MEDC: 3Q24 Results – BUY, SSI TP: IDR 2,200

Economic Reports

Nov 5, 2024

HRUM: 3Q24 Results – SELL, SSI TP: IDR 1,100

laba antam

Company Reports

Nov 5, 2024

ANTM: 3Q24 Results – BUY, SSI TP: IDR 1,800

Economic Reports

Nov 5, 2024

Gross Domestic Product 3Q24: 5 November 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Nov 5, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 05 Nov, 2024

Company Reports

Nov 5, 2024

TLKM: 3Q24 Results – BUY, SSI TP: IDR 3,600

Company Reports

Nov 5, 2024

ISAT: 3Q24 Results – BUY, SSI TP: IDR 3,125

Economic Reports

Nov 4, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 5 November 2024

Company Reports

Nov 4, 2024

INTP: BUY (Upgrade) – TP: IDR 7,700 – 3Q24 Results

Company Reports

Nov 4, 2024

Nickel Weekly (04 November 2024): USD 15,722/ton (-2.8% WoW)

harga tembaga naik

Company Reports

Nov 4, 2024

Copper Weekly (04 November 2024): USD 9,408/ton (-0.4% WoW)

kenaikan harga emas

Company Reports

Nov 4, 2024

Gold Weekly (04 November 2024): USD 2,757/oz (+0.9% WoW)

Company Reports

Nov 4, 2024

ADRO: 3Q24 Results – BUY, SSI TP: IDR 4,200

kontribusi untr

Company Reports

Nov 4, 2024

UNTR: 3Q24 Results – BUY, SSI TP: IDR 29,600

Company Reports

Nov 4, 2024

INCO: 3Q24 Results – SELL, SSI TP: IDR 3,400

laba bersih bukit asam

Company Reports

Nov 4, 2024

PTBA: 3Q24 Results – BUY, SSI TP: IDR 3,200

Morning Briefs

Nov 4, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat Hari Ini

Technical Stock Analysis

Nov 4, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 04 Nov, 2024

Economic Reports

Nov 3, 2024

Samuel Monthly Economic Insight 4 November 2024

Economic Reports

Nov 1, 2024

Indonesia Oktober Inflation: 1 November 2024

Economic Reports

Nov 1, 2024

Indonesia Manufacturing PMI: 1 November 2024

Company Reports

Nov 1, 2024

BRMS: BUY (Maintain), TP: IDR 500 (from 230) – Shining Shimmering Splendid

pertumbuhan towr

Company Reports

Nov 1, 2024

MTEL: BUY (Maintain) – TP at IDR 780 – 3Q24 Results

Technical Stock Analysis

Nov 1, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 01 Nov, 2024

Morning Briefs

Nov 1, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Melemah Hari Ini

Economic Reports

Nov 1, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 1 November 2024

Company Reports

Oct 31, 2024

SSIA: BUY (Maintain) – TP: IDR 1,650 – 3Q24 Results

laba bersih mika

Company Reports

Oct 31, 2024

MIKA: BUY (Maintain) – TP at 3,300 (from 3,000) – 3Q24 Results

laba bersih FILM

Company Reports

Oct 31, 2024

FILM: 3Q24 Results – BUY, SSI TP: IDR 7,000

kinerja ciputra

Company Reports

Oct 31, 2024

CTRA: BUY (Maintain) – TP: IDR 1,600 – 3Q24 Results

Company Reports

Oct 31, 2024

BSDE: BUY (Maintain) – TP: IDR 1,325 – 3Q24 Results

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 31, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 31 Oct, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 31, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Melemah Hari Ini

Economic Reports

Oct 30, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 31 October 2024

Company Reports

Oct 30, 2024

SSI Surveillance: Poultry Mid-Week (30 October 2024)

harga komoditas

Company Reports

Oct 30, 2024

SSI Surveillance: Raw Materials (23 – 30 October 2024)

heal laba kuartal 1

Company Reports

Oct 30, 2024

HEAL: BUY (Maintain) – TP: IDR 1,800 – 3Q24 Results

kinerja positif assa

Company Reports

Oct 30, 2024

ASSA: 3Q24 Results – BUY, SSI TP: IDR 1,200

Morning Briefs

Oct 30, 2024

Oct 30, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 30 Oct, 2024

Company Reports

Oct 29, 2024

Pakuwon Jati (PWON): IDR 472 BUY – SSI TP: IDR 590; Cons. TP: IDR 575

Company Reports

Oct 29, 2024

Dharma Polimetal (DRMA): IDR 1,110 – BUY, SSI TP: IDR 1,430 (From IDR 1,600); 3Q24 Result

Economic Reports

Oct 29, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 29 October 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 29, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 29 Oct, 2024

Company Reports

Oct 28, 2024

Copper Weekly (28 October 2024): USD 9,449/ton (-0.03% WoW)

Company Reports

Oct 28, 2024

Nickel Weekly (28 October 2024): USD 16,168/ton (-4.9% WoW)

harga emas melesat

Company Reports

Oct 28, 2024

Gold Weekly (28 October 2024): USD 2,734/oz (+2.0% WoW)

Economic Reports

Oct 28, 2024

Samuel Weekly Economic Report 28 October 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 28, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat Hari Ini

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 28, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 28 Oct, 2024

tren harga CPO

Company Reports

Oct 25, 2024

Palm Oil Weekly (25 October 2024): CPO MYR 4,477 (+2.9% WoW)

Company Reports

Oct 25, 2024

UNVR: – SELL (Downgrade) – TP at 1,800 (From 2,700) – 3Q24 Results

Company Reports

Oct 25, 2024

SIDO: BUY (Maintain) – TP at 830 – 3Q24 Results

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 25, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 25 Oct, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 25, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Sideways Hari Ini

laba bank bca

Company Reports

Oct 24, 2024

BBCA: BUY (Maintain) – TP at 12,500 – 3Q24 Results

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 24, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 24 Oct, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 24, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Melemah Hari Ini

Company Reports

Oct 23, 2024

SSI Surveillance: Raw Materials (16 – 22 October 2024)

Company Reports

Oct 23, 2024

SSI Surveillance: Poultry Mid-Weekly (23 October 2024)

Company Reports

Oct 23, 2024

PNBN: BUY (Initiation) – TP at 2,200 – Fifth Time Lucky

Morning Briefs

Oct 23, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Sideways Hari Ini

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 23, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 23 Oct, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 22, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 22 Oct, 2024

harga tembaga naik

Company Reports

Oct 21, 2024

Copper Weekly (21 October 2024): USD 9,452/ton (-1.7% WoW)

Harga Emas Turun

Company Reports

Oct 21, 2024

Gold Weekly (21 October 2024): USD 2,680/Oz (+1.8% WoW)

Company Reports

Oct 21, 2024

Nickel Weekly (21 October 2024): USD 16,998/ton (-2.7% WoW)

Economic Reports

Oct 21, 2024

Indonesia’s Politics: Armed ─ Forces ─ Backed

Morning Briefs

Oct 21, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Sideways Hari Ini

peluang aces ditengah gejolak ekonomi

Company Reports

Oct 18, 2024

ACES: 9M24 SSSG

harga cpo meningkat

Company Reports

Oct 18, 2024

Palm Oil Weekly (18 October 2024): CPO MYR 4,342 (+1.7% WoW)

pertumbuhan solid oil n gas

Company Reports

Oct 18, 2024

Oil Weekly (18 October 2024): USD 75.9/bbl (-3.2% WoW)

batu bara melonjak

Company Reports

Oct 18, 2024

Coal Weekly (18 October 2024): USD 149/ton (-0.9% WoW)

Morning Briefs

Oct 18, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat Hari Ini

Economic Reports

Oct 17, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Insights

Morning Briefs

Oct 17, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Sideways Hari Ini

Economic Reports

Oct 16, 2024

BI’s 7-Day Repo Rate: 16 October 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 16, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Insights 16 October 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 16, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 16, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 16 Oct, 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 15, 2024

Balance of Trade 15 October 2024

laba astra

Company Reports

Oct 15, 2024

ASII: 9M24 Auto Sales

Economic Reports

Oct 15, 2024

Samuel Daily Economic Insight 15 October 2024

tembaga mengalami kenaikan

Company Reports

Oct 14, 2024

Copper Weekly (14 October 2024): USD 9,618/ton (-1.8% WoW)

kenaikan harga emas

Company Reports

Oct 14, 2024

Gold Weekly (14 October 2024): USD 2,632/Oz (-0.8% WoW)

Company Reports

Oct 14, 2024

Nickel Weekly (14 October 2024): USD 17,467/ton (-0.3% WoW)

Economic Reports

Oct 14, 2024

Samuel 2nd Weekly Economic Insight 14 October 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 14, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 14 Oct, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 14, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat Hari Ini

harga minyak turun

Company Reports

Oct 11, 2024

Oil Weekly (11 October 2024): USD 78.2/bbl (+6.3% WoW)

prospek cerah batubara

Company Reports

Oct 11, 2024

Coal Weekly (11 October 2024): USD 150/ton (+4.7% WoW)

Harga Tembaga Turun

Company Reports

Oct 11, 2024

Coal Weekly (11 October 2024): USD 150/ton (+4.7% WoW)

pasar minyak tertekan

Company Reports

Oct 11, 2024

Oil Weekly (11 October 2024): USD 78.2/bbl (+6.3% WoW)

Company Reports

Oct 11, 2024

SSI Surveillance: Poultry Mid-Week (10 October 2024)

Company Reports

Oct 11, 2024

Palm Oil Weekly (11 October 2024): CPO MYR 4,269 (+0.9% WoW)