Research & Stock Picks

Economic Reports

16 December 2025

By

Samuel Daily Economic Insights 16 December 2025

Overview

Indonesia’s macro landscape is entering a consolidation phase as fiscal discipline, structural reform, and external engagement increasingly shape policy direction toward 2026. The decline in foreign debt reflects cautious borrowing amid tighter global financial conditions, while stable government liabilities signal improved debt management. Energy transition ambitions are gaining clarity, with renewables positioned as a long-term growth pillar, though market design and valuation challenges remain unresolved. SOE restructuring continues at scale under Danantara, aiming to improve efficiency without triggering social disruption. Indonesia’s OECD accession bid is accelerating governance reform momentum but raises compliance and cost challenges for the private sector. Trade relations with the United States remain delicate as both sides push to conclude tariff negotiations before year-end. Aviation and tourism connectivity are recovering steadily, supported by rising regional travel demand. Politically, disaster recovery, education reform, and defense modernization remain high on the government’s agenda. In the digital domain, global automation, data infrastructure competition, and child-protection regulation are reshaping policy priorities. Regionally, recurring climate-related disruptions continue to underscore Indonesia’s vulnerability to extreme weather events.

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