Research & Stock Picks

Daily Report

20 November 2023

By

Macro Strategy and Fixed Income Weekly 2023-11-18

  • Kami memperkirakan Indonesia akan kembali mencatat defisit neraca berjalan senilai USD -2bn pada 3Q23 (2Q23: USD -1.9bn) karena besaran surplus neraca dagang yang tidak berubah pada kuartal yang sama senilai USD 7.8bn (2Q23: USD 7.8bn).
  • Menurut kami, Bank Indonesia masih mempunyai ruang untuk menaikkan suku bunga acuan BI 7DRRR sebanyak 25 bps menjadi 6.25% karena tingginya tingkat suku bunga diskonto SRBI 12M, walaupun tren suku bunga SRBI cenderung menurun dalam 2 minggu terakhir.
  • Rilis data inflasi CPI dan PPI Amerika Serikat untuk bulan Oktober meyakinkan pelaku pasar bahwa siklus kenaikan suku bunga The Fed sudah berakhir.\
  • Fokus investor pasar global akan tertuju pada rilis data PMI manufaktur dan jasa di Amerika Serikat dan Eropa pada hari Kamis (23/11) dan Jumat depan (24/11) untuk memastikan apakah ekonomi global akan mengalami soft atau hard landing pada tiga kuartal mendatang (4Q23-2Q24).

Share This:

Highlights

Macro Strategy Weekly 2023-11-18 (Ind)
Macro Strategy Weekly 2023-11-18 (Eng)

Download PDF

Macro Strategy Weekly 2023-11-18 (Ind)
Macro Strategy Weekly 2023-11-18 (Eng)

More Related

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Feb 22, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 22 Feb 2024

Daily Report

Feb 22, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Bergerak Menguat

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Feb 21, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 21 Feb 2024

Daily Report

Feb 21, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Melemah Hari Ini

Emiten Report

Feb 20, 2024

Strategy Report: 2024 Elections – What’s Next?

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Feb 20, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 20 Feb 2024

Emiten Report

Feb 19, 2024

BBRI: BUY (Maintain), TP at 6,800 – Higher earning-assets portfolio to support NIM

Daily Report

Feb 19, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Sideways Hari Ini

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Feb 19, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 19 Feb 2024

Daily Report

Feb 16, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Feb 13, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 13 Feb 2024

Daily Report

Feb 13, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Bergerak Menguat

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Feb 12, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 12 Feb 2024

Daily Report

Feb 12, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Feb 7, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 07 Feb 2024

Daily Report

Feb 7, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Sideways

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Feb 6, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 06 Feb 2024

Emiten Report

Feb 5, 2024

BBNI: BUY (Maintain), TP at 6,600 – Fundamental improvement in risk profile

Emiten Report

Feb 5, 2024

BBCA: BUY (Maintain), TP at 10,800 – Conservative During Election Year

Daily Report

Feb 5, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Sideways

Daily Report

Feb 2, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Feb 2, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 02 Feb 2024

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Feb 1, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 01 Feb 2024

Daily Report

Feb 1, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Bergerak Melemah

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Jan 31, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 31 Jan 2024

Daily Report

Jan 31, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Melemah

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Jan 30, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 30 Jan 2024

Emiten Report

Jan 29, 2024

RAJA: BUY (Maintain), TP at 2,200 – Long Live the King!

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Jan 29, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 29 Jan 2024

Daily Report

Jan 29, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Jan 26, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 26 Jan 2024

Daily Report

Jan 26, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Melemah

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Jan 25, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 25 Jan 2024

Daily Report

Jan 25, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Bergerak Sideways

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Jan 24, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 24 Jan 2024

Daily Report

Jan 24, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Melemah

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Jan 23, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 23 Jan 2024

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Jan 22, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 22 Jan 2024

Daily Report

Jan 22, 2024

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Jan 19, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 19 Jan 2024

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Jan 18, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 18 Jan 2024

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Jan 17, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 17 Jan 2024

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Jan 16, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 16 Jan 2024

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Jan 15, 2024

Daily Stock Technical – 15 Jan 2024

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Dec 29, 2023

Daily Stock Technical – 29 December 2023

Daily Report

Dec 29, 2023

IHSG Berpotensi Melemah

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Dec 28, 2023

Daily Stock Technical – 28 December 2023

Daily Report

Dec 28, 2023

IHSG Berpotensi Sideways

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Dec 27, 2023

Daily Stock Technical – 27 December 2023 (window dressing)

Daily Report

Dec 27, 2023

IHSG Berpotensi Melanjutkan Penguatan

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Dec 22, 2023

Daily Stock Technical – 22 December 2023

Daily Report

Dec 22, 2023

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat

Daily Report

Dec 21, 2023

BI pertahankan suku bunga acuan pada bulan Desember di tengah euforia dovish pivot

Daily Report

Dec 21, 2023

Macro Strategy and Fixed Income Outlook 2024 – Global Dovish Pivot Euphoria

Daily Report

Dec 21, 2023

Waspadai batas resisten teknikal yield 10Y UST di 3.8%

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Dec 21, 2023

Daily Stock Technical – 21 December 2023

Daily Report

Dec 21, 2023

IHSG Berpotensi Bergerak Melemah

Daily Report

Dec 20, 2023

Market players are disappointed with the BoJ’s policy

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Dec 20, 2023

Daily Stock Technical – 20 December 2023

Daily Report

Dec 20, 2023

IHSG Berpotensi Melanjutkan Penguatan Hari Ini

Daily Report

Dec 19, 2023

Waspadai overbought instrumen INDOGB dan INDON

Daily Report

Dec 19, 2023

IHSG Berpotensi Bergerak Sideways

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Dec 19, 2023

Daily Stock Technical – 19 December 2023

Daily Report

Dec 18, 2023

Euforia dovish pivot The Fed meluas ke ECB

Daily Report

Dec 18, 2023

Surplus neraca dagang November menipis akibat meningkatnya impor menjelang libur akhir tahun

Daily Report

Dec 18, 2023

IHSG Berpotensi Sideways

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Dec 18, 2023

Daily Stock Technical – 18 December 2023

Emiten Report

Dec 15, 2023

Automotive Sector – Overweight – 11M23 Auto Sales

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Dec 15, 2023

Daily Stock Technical – 15 December 2023

Daily Report

Dec 15, 2023

Euforia dovish pivot global berlanjut

Daily Report

Dec 15, 2023

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat

Emiten Report

Dec 14, 2023

Cement Sector: 11M23 Cement Sales

Emiten Report

Dec 14, 2023

Strategy report – 2024 Market Outlook

Daily Report

Dec 14, 2023

Gap IHSG Vs. LQ 45 & IDX 80 tekan Rupiah, SBN; Pasar proyeksikan pemangkasan 150 bps Vs. Fed: 75 bps

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Dec 14, 2023

Daily Stock Technical – 14 December 2023

Daily Report

Dec 14, 2023

IHSG Berpotensi Bergerak Menguat

Daily Report

Dec 13, 2023

Asa pasar terhadap ekspektasi dovish pivot The Fed masih belum pupus

Daily Report

Dec 13, 2023

IHSG Berpotensi Melanjutkan Penguatan

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Dec 13, 2023

Daily Stock Technical – 13 December 2023

Emiten Report

Dec 12, 2023

GOTO: BUY (From HOLD), TP at 120 – A New Hope

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Dec 12, 2023

Daily Stock Technical – 12 December 2023

Economic & Fixed Income

Dec 11, 2023

Menguatnya pasar tenaga kerja AS picu aksi jual UST

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Dec 11, 2023

Daily Stock Technical – 11 December 2023

Daily Report

Dec 11, 2023

IHSG Berpotensi Menguat

Daily Report

Dec 8, 2023

Waspadai efek BOJ dan rilis data pasar tenaga kerja AS

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Dec 8, 2023

Daily Stock Technical – 08 December 2023

Daily Report

Dec 8, 2023

IHSG Berpotensi Sideways

Emiten Report

Dec 7, 2023

BUY (Maintain), TP at IDR 6,100 – Notes from Analyst Gathering

Daily Report

Dec 7, 2023

Yield 10Y UST sentuh 4.1% akibat ekspektasi dovish pivot The Fed

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Dec 7, 2023

Daily Stock Technical – 07 December 2023

Daily Report

Dec 7, 2023

IHSG Berpotensi Bergerak Melemah

Daily Report

Dec 6, 2023

Bullish rally global berlanjut, waspadai apresiasi USD

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Dec 6, 2023

Daily Stock Technical – 06 Desember 2023

Daily Report

Dec 6, 2023

IHSG Berpotensi Sideways

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Dec 5, 2023

Daily Stock Technical – 05 Desember 2023

Emiten Report

Dec 4, 2023

NCKL: BUY (Maintain), TP at IDR 1,500 – Buying Manhattan for Beads

Emiten Report

Dec 4, 2023

Banking Sector – Overweight – 10M23 Bank-Only Results

Daily Report

Dec 4, 2023

Macro Strategy & Fixed Income Weekly 2023-12-4

Daily Stock Technical Recommendations

Dec 4, 2023

Daily Stock Technical – 04 Desember 2023