We expect 2H26 earnings growth to stay modest as opex catches up (FY26 CIR guided c.31% vs 30% in 1H26) and credit cost drifts toward 60bps, but the NIM inflection is the offset: 2Q26 loans booked 50-100bps higher, recovering corporate yields and SRBI reinvestment up c.60bps QoQ imply 5.5-5.9% NIM in 2H26 against 5.4-5.6% guide. At 2.5x 26F P/BV, near its 2008 trough, BBCA's 19.7% ROE and 84% CASA franchise stay the sector's most defensive.
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