Research & Stock Picks

Economic Reports

18 November 2024

By

Samuel 2nd Weekly Economic of November 2024

Highlights

  • Tekanan Ekonomi di Tengah Kehati-hatian Konsumen: Indeks keyakinan konsumen Indonesia menurun, mencerminkan meningkatnya kekhawatiran ekonomi, khususnya terkait pengeluaran diskresioner. Pelemahan rupiah dan tekanan inflasi telah mendorong konsumen untuk lebih berhati-hati, yang dapat memengaruhi pertumbuhan PDB Q4 dan menantang stabilitas permintaan domestik.

 

  • Surplus Perdagangan Menyempit Akibat Lonjakan Impor: Surplus perdagangan turun menjadi USD 2.47 miliar pada bulan Oktober, terutama akibat peningkatan impor yang tajam (naik 17.49%), melampaui pertumbuhan ekspor.

 

  • Investasi Strategis dan Insentif FDI: Indonesia mendorong investasi asing melalui perjanjian senilai USD 10 miliar dengan Tiongkok, yang menargetkan sektor-sektor seperti pertambangan litium, manufaktur kendaraan listrik, dan energi terbarukan. Selain itu, Indonesia memberlakukan perpanjangan tax holiday hingga tahun 2025 demi menarik investasi asing langsung (FDI) ke sektor infrastruktur, manufaktur, dan industri hijau, yang penting bagi ambisi industrialisasi dan transisi energi Indonesia.

 

  • Komitmen Lingkungan dan Investasi Energi Terbarukan: Di acara COP29, Indonesia menjanjikan USD 235 miliar untuk pengembangan kapasitas energi terbarukan, dengan target pencapaian 100 GW pada tahun 2030, termasuk proyek-proyek amonia hijau dan tenaga surya. Upaya-upaya untuk mengurangi polusi industri dan meningkatkan keberlanjutan penambangan nikel menunjukkan komitmen Indonesia terhadap prinsip-prinsip ekonomi hijau.

 

  • Hubungan Geopolitik dengan Tiongkok, AS, dan Kanada: Strategi diplomatik Indonesia berpusat pada menyeimbangkan hubungan dengan Tiongkok, AS, dan Kanada, termasuk mengamankan kesepakatan perdagangan, investasi, dan dukungan untuk keanggotaan OECD. Keterlibatan dengan kekuatan global tersebut menunjukkan focus Indonesia pada otonomi strategis sambil mengejar pembangunan berkelanjutan dan integrasi ekonomi internasional.

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