Research & Stock Picks

Economic & Fixed Income

06 August 2024

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Samuel Daily Economic: 6 August 2024

Laporan pasar tenaga kerja AS yang jauh lebih lemah dari perkiraan telah memicu kekhawatiran terkait potensi perlambatan ekonomi, dan menyebabkan aksi jual yang signifikan di pasar saham global. Indeks utama seperti Nikkei 225 turun cukup dalam, meningkatkan kecemasan investor tentang prospek ekonomi dan kebijakan suku bunga The Fed di masa mendatang. Indeks Volatilitas Pasar Saham Amerika Serikat (USVIX) melonjak ke 38.27, menunjukkan tingginya ketidakpastian pasar. Sementara itu, pertumbuhan PDB Indonesia tetap stabil di atas 5% YoY di Q2, meskipun belanja pemerintah menurun. Rencana stimulus dari Presiden terpilih Prabowo Subianto diperkirakan akan mendongkrak berbagai sektor, sekaligus meng’counter’ dampak pembatasan fiskal saat ini. Dari dunia politik, Koalisi Indonesia Maju bersatu di belakang Ridwan Kamil untuk pemilihan gubernur Jakarta, menantang Anies Baswedan. Dari dunia lingkungan, Indonesia bersiap menghadapi peningkatan kebakaran hutan selama musim kemarau dan meningkatkan kesiapsiagaan bencana melalui sistem peringatan dini digital.

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