Research & Stock Picks

Economic Reports

10 June 2025

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Samuel Weekly Economic Insights 10 June 2025

■ *Inflation Eased, Trade Surplus Shrinks:* May inflation slowed to 1.60% YoY, below expectations, driven by post-Eid price normalization, while April’s trade surplus narrowed sharply to USD 0.15 billion amid surging imports—signaling domestic demand recovery but exposing external vulnerabilities.

 

■ *IDR 24.4 Trillion Stimulus Rolled Out with Mixed Execution:* The government launched a major stimulus targeting transport, wages, and social aid.

 

■ *Potential Cabinet Reshuffle:* President Prabowo vowed anti-corruption reforms, fueling speculation of a cabinet reshuffle.

 

■ *Digital & AI Ecosystem Accelerates with Sovereign Cloud Push:* Major AI launches by Indosat-GoTo and DCI Indonesia’s largest data center underscored momentum in digital infrastructure, with the national AI roadmap nearing release and regulatory moves reshaping Indonesia’s digital economy.

 

■ *Environmental Scrutiny Mounts as ESG Risks Hit Nickel Sector:* ESG compliance concerns escalated with lawsuits in Raja Ampat and Greenpeace detentions, even as Indonesia pursued renewable targets through floating solar, seaweed biofuels, and geothermal expansion—highlighting the tension between green ambition and extractive growth.

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