Research & Stock Picks

Economic & Fixed Income

28 June 2024

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Samuel Daily Economic Report 28 June 2024

Ikhtisar

Dunia usaha Indonesia semakin khawatir dengan melemahnya nilai tukar rupiah, yang menyebabkan kenaikan biaya dan mempengaruhi stabilitas perekonomian. Kekhawatiran investor terhadap kesehatan fiskal Indonesia tercermin pada melebarnya selisih imbal hasil obligasi antara Indonesia dan India. Meskipun terdapat tantangan geopolitik dan perekonomian global, pemerintah tetap optimis terhadap fundamental perekonomian Indonesia yang kuat. Karena ketidakpastian pasar, investor di Nusantara menuntut tingkat pengembalian yang tinggi. Pertamina kemungkinan akan menaikkan harga BBM nonsubsidi di tengah pelemahan nilai tukar rupiah dan permasalahan yang sedang berlangsung di kilang Balikpapan. Indonesia siap menjadi pemain utama di pasar LNG global yang sedang berkembang dan sedang mencari mitra di bidang energi ramah lingkungan. Freeport Indonesia telah membuka smelter tembaga senilai USD 3.7 miliar untuk memenuhi permintaan energi terbarukan yang terus meningkat. Pemerintah memprioritaskan ormas keagamaan untuk mendapatkan izin pertambangan batu bara, sementara investasi besar di sektor hilirisasi nikel dibatalkan. Investasi Indonesia dalam manufaktur baterai kendaraan listrik diuntungkan oleh pergeseran rantai pasokan regional. Metode pembayaran "Buy Now, Pay Later" semakin populer seiring menurunnya penggunaan kartu kredit. Di tengah PHK massal, sebuah raksasa tekstil Tiongkok berencana berinvestasi di Indonesia, dan Sritex mengaitkan penurunan labanya dengan produk impor dari Tiongkok yang murah. PT Impack Pratama Industri telah mengakuisisi Mulford Holdings dari Selandia Baru, sementara Indonesia bermitra dengan perusahaan Jepang dalam pelatihan industri. Indonesia bersiap menghadapi potensi kekurangan pangan akibat gelombang panas dan kekeringan. Perusahaan perkebunan milik negara PTPN mendukung pengurangan impor gula, dan pemerintah menyederhanakan birokrasi untuk menarik event global. Presiden Jokowi menyoroti tantangan hak cipta digital disaat ASEAN membangun aturan ekonomi digitalnya. Shopee dan Tokopedia melakukan penyesuaian dan PHK karena masalah peraturan. Pemerintah membatalkan rencana untuk memblokir platform media sosial X atas konten pornografi, dan memilih mekanisme firewall. KoinWorks telah memperluas akses permodalan bagi UMKM dengan menyalurkan USD 1.8 miliar ke lebih dari 900.000 bisnis.

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