Research & Stock Picks

Economic Reports

10 December 2024

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Samuel Daily Insights 10 December 2024

Ikhtisar

Presiden Prabowo menargetkan investasi sebesar USD 900 miliar untuk mencapai pertumbuhan ekonomi 8%. Kenaikan PPN sekarang difokuskan hanya untuk barang-barang mewah, dan kebutuhan pokok dikecualikan guna melindungi kelompok rentan. Inisiatif seperti pemutihan utang UMKM dan diversifikasi portofolio INA bertujuan untuk meningkatkan ketahanan ekonomi, sementara proyek energi dan infrastruktur, termasuk enam blok minyak dan gas baru dan pengembangan modal yang didukung Finlandia, menghadirkan peluang investasi baru. Meskipun Indeks Kepercayaan Konsumen naik ke 125.9 pada November 2024, yang mencerminkan persepsi ekonomi yang membaik dan optimisme keuangan, masih ada tantangan di sektor kemajuan energi terbarukan dan reformasi struktural. Di dunia politik, dipecatnya Jokowi dari PDI-P dan Pilkada Jakarta menunjukkan pergeseran dinamika kekuatan, sementara Indonesia menghadapi sejumlah masalah diplomasi dan keamanan, seperti perjanjian dengan Tiongkok atas Kepulauan Natuna. Meskipun masih kendala regulasi, ekonomi digital terus berkembang, didukung dengan kemitraan dengan AS dan investasi di bidang AI yang signifikan. Upaya konservasi lingkungan dan satwa liar menunjukkan sulitnya jalan Indonesia menuju keberlanjutan.

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