Research & Stock Picks

Economic Reports

02 October 2024

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Samuel Daily Economic Insight 2 October 2024

Ikhtisar

Pada bulan September 2024, inflasi Indonesia turun ke 1.84%, level terendah dalam tiga tahun terakhir, didorong terutama oleh melambatnya kenaikan harga pangan di tengah melimpahnya pasokan beras. Sektor lain, seperti kesehatan dan transportasi, juga mengalami penurunan inflasi, yang menandakan lesunya permintaan konsumen dan menimbulkan keraguan terkait target pertumbuhan ekonomi pemerintah sebesar 5%+ untuk tahun ini. Sektor manufaktur sedikit membaik, dengan PMI naik menjadi 49.2, meski masih tertahan di zona kontraksi selama tiga bulan berturut-turut, yang menunjukkan tantangan yang sedang berlangsung baik dalam permintaan domestik maupun luar negeri. Terlepas dari rintangan ini, investasi selama masa jabatan kedua Presiden Joko Widodo melonjak hampir dua kali lipat, dan inisiatif dalam investasi AI, perbankan digital, dan proyek energi terbarukan menunjukkan strategi negara yang berwawasan ke depan. Sementara itu, industri tekstil Indonesia mendapat tekanan dari banjir barang impor, dan masalah lingkungan seperti Peraturan Deforestasi UE dan kekhawatiran greenwashing mendorong seruan untuk kebijakan yang lebih seimbang dan transparansi yang lebih besar di pasar.

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