Research & Stock Picks

Company Reports

26 August 2024

By

Coal Weekly (26 August 2024): USD 147/ton (-1.8% WoW)

Recent Catalysts Driving the Price

  • Between 19 – 23 August 2024, coal prices averaged USD 147 (-1.8% WoW) as global demand declined due to the ongoing shift towards renewable energy. Major coal consumers like China and India are increasingly investing in cleaner alternatives, with China's solar capacity rising +28% in early 2024. Furthermore, the EU plans to cut 80% of coal-fired power generation by 2030. Due to all these factors, coal's share in global energy mix is expected to decline from 27% in 2021 to around 22% in 2030.
  • The industry is also facing financial & operational instability, with US coal production falling nearly 35% over the past decade and major companies like Peabody Energy filing for bankruptcy. Global investment in coal has dropped -40% since 2015 as investors continue to shifts away from coal-related assets.
  • Given ongoing concerns about potential global economic slowdown, we maintain our FY24 coal price forecast of USD 130/ton (YTD: USD 134.6/ton). Stock-wise, we prefer ADRO with TP of IDR 3,600 (FY24 P/E of 5.1x) as our top pick, primarily due to its green aluminum project set to commence in 2025.

Share This:

Download PDF

Download PDF

UPDATE_Coal_Weekly_20240826

Download PDF

UPDATE_Coal_Weekly_20240826

More Related

laba astra

Company Reports

Oct 15, 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 15, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 14, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 14, 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 11, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 11, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 11, 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 10, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 10, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 10, 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 9, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 9, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 9, 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 8, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 8, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 7, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 7, 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 4, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 4, 2024

inflasi tahunan indonesia

Morning Briefs

Oct 4, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 3, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 3, 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 2, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 2, 2024

Morning Briefs

Oct 2, 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 1, 2024

bank jago

Company Reports

Oct 1, 2024

laba bank bmri

Company Reports

Oct 1, 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 1, 2024

Economic Reports

Oct 1, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Oct 1, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 30, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 30, 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 30, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 27, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 27, 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 27, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 26, 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 26, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 25, 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 25, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 25, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 24, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 24, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 23, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 23, 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 23, 2024

peluang aces ditengah gejolak ekonomi

Company Reports

Sep 20, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 20, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 20, 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 20, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 19, 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 19, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 18, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 18, 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 18, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 18, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 17, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 17, 2024

Technical Stock Analysis

Sep 13, 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 13, 2024

laba astra

Company Reports

Sep 12, 2024

Economic Reports

Sep 12, 2024

Morning Briefs

Sep 12, 2024