Strength
Strong 3Q24 earnings growth of 16.2% YoY, driven by solid loan growth (14.5% YoY) and improved NIM (+10bps QoQ) as the bank’s CoF declined
Opportunity
Given that it has the highest CASA ratio (82%) among our banking coverage (Sector: 65%), BBCA would benefit most if BI were to cut its 7DRR further in 4Q24, as the bank would be able to adjust TD rate immediately
Weakness
3Q24 LDR rose to 77.9% (+760bps YoY), as BBCA’s deposit growth (+3.4% YoY) significantly lagged behind its loan growth (+3.2% QoQ, +14.5% YoY); CoC rose 40bps to 0.6%, exceeding BBCA’s FY24 CoC target of 30-40bps
Threat
The bank may need to raise CoC if asset quality deteriorates further due to USD/IDR depreciation; BBCA’s YTD outperformance against the JCI may result in some profit taking going forward
Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia is a leading Indonesian securities brokerage firm. Established in 1997, the firm has grown to become one of the most respected and trusted financial services companies in the country. With a wide range of services and products, Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia has become a trusted partner to many investors, both institutional and individual.
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The company has a strong research capability and is committed to providing its clients with up-to-date and reliable market analysis and recommendations. It also has a team of experienced and knowledgeable professionals who are dedicated to providing quality service to its clients. As a result, Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia has become a preferred partner for many investors in Indonesia.
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